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by jnorthrop 5172 days ago
To add weight to your skepticism the article states, "Eventually (in another 10 years or so), li-ion batteries could be replaced with li-air batteries." !0 years is a long time-frame.
2 comments

10 years is not a long time frame for something like a new battery technology... it's surprisingly short, in fact.
Exactly. 10 years is way past the Technological Event Horizon, which is about 2 years.

Which means that unlike, for example, memristors, lithium air batteries most likely won't happen, and if they do happen, their happening will be a consequence of other research.

(Which is an argument why most research should be fundamental and open-ended, i.e. not directed towards specific outcomes.)

If you follow Intel's R&D they have consistently gotten projects from 10-15 years out to come online on time.
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