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by epistasis
916 days ago
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The best predictions have come from people that know the "least" that make the simplest predictions just extrapolating current trends. To get bad predictions, you need to be "deeply knowledgeable" about energy and come up with all sort of ways to bias the predictions against renewable energy. Greenpeace (not known for being very numerate in the first place) and Ramez Naam did much better: https://rameznaam.com/2020/05/14/solars-future-is-insanely-c... |
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