[aperson_hello]

https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=55719

Most new capacity is renewable (and it's been that way for years). It's just that there was a whole bunch of natural gas capacity built out over the 90s and 2000s that it'll take a while before we see any significant reduction in natural gas generation

[vlovich123]

But our energy usage grows with time too. There’s no indication yet that solar is capable of replacing fossil fuels usage in the grid vs just keeping up with new energy usage (platueing is not sufficient)

[aperson_hello]

Solar and wind are on an exponential trajectory. Our usage isn't. That in itself is enough to make a pretty good prediction that they'll make an impact.

That said, there are absolutely going to be issues taking the entire grid to solar/wind (namely, storage!). There are potential options to solve those problems...so we'll get there. The question is just how long it'll take.