[bee_rider]

I think I understood Chesterton’s point, just that he is wrong. Maybe somebody will come along and present an explanation as to what I’m missing.

[Ensorceled]

I don't think anyone can, since you seem to be applying mathematical rigour to a "rule of thumb".

Since "Chesterton's Fence" can not be 100% applicable to every and any situation, you are rejecting it wholesale.