[mulmen]

Experts have a narrow, deep view while CEOs have a wide, shallow view.

If the expert works in a lab developing new experimental solar panels they probably don’t see a clear path to mass production.

The CEO might know another manufacturing expert that does see a path to production and have enough high level understanding to know the methods are compatible.

[tcmart14]

In this case yes, but in this case we have to assume the research side has achieved it's goal (its proven a material exists with the desired properties), now it is a manufacturing problem. If the lab can't produce the material, the manufacturing lines have nothing to manufacture with. And that seems to be the case with FSD. CEOs make wild claims, but the tech isn't there. The material has not been proven to exist in a lab with the desired properties.

Like a CEO saying, I have a material that can protect wearers from nuclear fusion blasts and it will be on the market in 6 months, but the experts in the field have yet to actually prove that material exists and create it in a lab.

[mulmen]

Sure, agree in this case.

But the point is that we are all equally capable of being wrong. Especially when we step outside our area of expertise. CEOs are just another type of expert but their domain is organization. We have to consider the source’s experience relative to the domain in question before we can decide if their prediction is trustworthy.

[zbyte64]

Both might be equally capable but the incentives are entirely different. An Engineer is motivated to deliver accurate predictions because that's their job. A CEO is not motivated to deliver accurate predictions because their main job is to hype their product and services.

[DonHopkins]

In this case the actual CEO we all know we're talking about is a serial confabulist who publicly agrees with anti semitic conspiracy theories and tells his advertisers to go fuck themselves, so your abstract hypothetical arguments generously giving some unspecified billionaire CEO the benefit of the doubt don't hold any water.

[mulmen]

It’s unfair to put words in my mouth to make your own unrelated point. It’s your choice to interpret my words as a defense of Musk.

If I wanted to defend Musk I would do it explicitly. You don’t need to read between the lines.