[timthelion]

While a formalized concept of 'turing completeness' which could prove the equality of sufficiently advanced LLMs will not exist yet, it will become clear that all models of a certain capability are equally capable(just as all CPUs are equally capable) and LLMs will become a comodity traded by speed, price and context window width. Furthermore, it will be realized, that beyond a certain size, larger context windows lead to diminishing output quality and we'll start talking about the theoretical limit for context window size (this will be a function over the amout of training data). OpenAI will still be a valulable company, but there will be at least 5 LLM providers to choose from and none will significantly outshine the rest.

At least one company will raise over $1billion on entirely fraudulent AI (using gpt's API and sleight of hand).

[muzani]

"At least one company will raise over $1billion on entirely fraudulent AI (using gpt's API and sleight of hand)."

I'd bet on grok.