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by rogerkirkness 927 days ago
Microsoft Cloud AI revenue went $90M, $900M, $2.7B in three quarters. How much more hard dollar demand growth could there possibly be at this point?
2 comments

They're selling to startups, not consumers.

The good startups are building, fine tuning, and running models locally.

it's shovels all the way down
I think there are enough genuine use cases. People are saving time using AI tools. There are a lot of people in office jobs. It is a huge market. Not to say it won't overshoot. With high interest rates valuations should be less frothy anyway.
shovelling what in your opinion? Or it’s just a giant house of cards?
Right now they’re shoveling “potential”. LLMs demonstrate capabilities we haven’t seen before, so there’s high uncertainty about the eventual impact. The pace of progress makes it _seem_ like an LLM “killer app” could appear any day and creating a sense of FOMO.
There's also the race to "AGI" -- companies spending tens of billions on training, hoping they'll hit a major intelligence breakthrough. If they don't hit anything significant that would have been money (mostly) down the drain, but Nvidia made out like a bandit.