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by HPsquared 922 days ago
I think the general lesson is that 2% annual growth - of anything - is not sustainable for long.
2 comments

Or even 1%. Neither is shrinking continuously.

None of this is to say that we're at a maximum.

The rule of 72 is useful. It would give roughly doubling every 35 years for a 1000years means 28 doublings or a bit over 256million x increase in power usage. Only off by ~50%.

I'm guessing that would put the population over a quadrillion, as well, with efficiency increases.

Can also think in terms of half-life.

For example at an inflation rate of 2%, that rule of thumb means the value of money has a half-life of 72 years.