Crypto is actually picking up after FTX and Binance, though as it's a social problem of adoption rather than a technical issue, I'm not sure it's comparable.
The problem with fusion and quantum computing is that advances are being made, but because those advances aren't consumer facing, you don't see them. Eg December 2022, they managed to get more energy out of a fusion experiment than they put in. That's huge! I'm not going to see an effect on my power bill for another couple decades, if ever, but it's real actual solid progress. For quantum computing, they're moving past the singular q-bit tech demonstrations level and moving into actual practical applications like making chips that can talk to each other **. Again, doesn't remotely affect me or my laptop today, but we've moved past the 1998 Stanford/IBM 2 q-bit computer.
Meanwhile, I can adopt a new model getting dropped with an afternoon of work, and see the results in milliseconds, in the case of StableDiffusion-turbo.
Cryptocurrency’s need to be fully decentralised is the thorn in it’s side. Be your own bank is a bit too much for most people used to cash or a bank account they can call up if there is a problem. It has fundamental social problems that there may be solutions to but probably not.
Fusion and quantum are massive physics and engineering challenges. With ML we are already building the chips to scale, so we know it is scalable and doable.
and we might know what problems those are for AI in a year or two, look back how crypto was viewed on by some...
I also was not arguing for ai to not improve by quit a bit more.. I actually think ai will make a few more big steps forward, but the garantee for this is not ankered in the inflowing capital/talent but instead in the relative clear path forward of the technologie and partly known ineffective architecture.
The problem with fusion and quantum computing is that advances are being made, but because those advances aren't consumer facing, you don't see them. Eg December 2022, they managed to get more energy out of a fusion experiment than they put in. That's huge! I'm not going to see an effect on my power bill for another couple decades, if ever, but it's real actual solid progress. For quantum computing, they're moving past the singular q-bit tech demonstrations level and moving into actual practical applications like making chips that can talk to each other **. Again, doesn't remotely affect me or my laptop today, but we've moved past the 1998 Stanford/IBM 2 q-bit computer.
Meanwhile, I can adopt a new model getting dropped with an afternoon of work, and see the results in milliseconds, in the case of StableDiffusion-turbo.
* https://www.technologyreview.com/2023/11/16/1083491/whats-co... ** https://www.technologyreview.com/2023/01/06/1066317/whats-ne...