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by pydry 927 days ago
That gas field isnt going to pay for even a small fraction of the cost of the war. It doesnt make any sense as a cause.

The most plausible reason for the war is still the publicly stated reason: preventing NATO expansion to Ukraine.

2 comments

NATO is not a threat, just an excuse

Both sides know that to be the truth. NATO would never start a war, the rules prevent article 5 from being usable should a member decide to start one on their own

edit, I see parent edited their "NATO threat" comment to be "prevent NATO expansion", the JM thesis is utterly wrong, these countries are choosing to be part of a defense alliance, it is not forced on them

The threat Ukraine poses to Russian leaders is a demonstration that a better life is possible without an authoritarian at the helm

> publicly stated reason

Putin wrote an essay in July 2021. That is the foundation, and most plausible publicly stated reason, to understand why they decided to invade

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/On_the_Historical_Unity_of_Rus...

It would have, though, if Putin's "conquered in three weeks" had panned out.