[auntienomen]

Sample size 1.

Here's what Andrew Wiles, the only other person to have solved a Millennium-class problem has to say of math competition: "Let me stress that creating new mathematics is a quite different occupation from solving problems in a contest. Why is this? Because you don't know for sure what you are trying to prove or indeed whether it is true."

[EVa5I7bHFq9mnYK]

Sample size > 1 for sure, Terence Tao comes to mind, as well as Dr. Maryam Mirzakhani.

Nobody argues it's the same, after all MO problems are designed to be solved in ~an hour, but we are talking about mental capabilities.