[austin-cheney]

In theory AI should be eliminating low skill developer jobs because it can already fully replace those people. By low skill I mean pattern memorizing framework monkeys who fear writing original solutions because doing so is beyond their capabilities.

In practice however the only people being eliminated are more experienced senior developers, because they cost more and their added value is often either not realized or not wanted. This is especially true in web development which has been racing towards commodity copy/paste skills for over a decade. In my case, as well as other cases I have observed, senior developers will continue to do this work for as long as they can until terminated at which point they don’t come back.

This is hastening the problem that was already present. Nobody is training web development as a competency which makes employers more reliant upon tools as a solution, which in turn drives increased complexity to compensate for declining availability of talent. It will be interesting to see what happens when employers stop over paying for candidates sufficiently lacking expected talent and instead turn to AI, which can already perform that low skill work.