| What you say is true, but the amount of "grunt work" is not constant over the years. In fact, I think the amount of "grunt work" in teh tech industry is just growing and not shrinking; I think the following look is quite obvious: - amount of current grunt work: X - new tech Z appears that makes X be reduced to 0.1X - at the same time Z enables new ways of doing things. Some things become grunt work because they are a byproduct of Z - amount of current grunt work: Y (where Y ~= X) - ... If the technological progress had stopped in the 2000s, then all the grunt work (originated in the 90s) would be esentially zero today. New tech just brings automation and grunt work. I don't think we will live in a society where there's practically no grunt work. The most recent example is AI: there are AI tools that generate sound, images, video and text... but if you want to create a differentiating product/experience, you need to combine (do the grunt work) all the available tools (chatgpt, stable difussion, etc.) |
If you wanted to have a simple database application in the 1990s, Delphi, VB6 or MS-Access were most of what you needed to get it done. The UI was drag and drop, the database was SQL, but you almost never touched it, mostly it was wiring up events with a few lines of code.
The work was commodified out of the way! Domain experts routinely built crude looking but functional programs that got the job done. It was an awesome time to be a programmer, you just had to refactor an already working system, fix a few glitches, and document everything properly, and everyone was happy.
Then everyone decided that all programs had to work on Steve Jobs' magic slab of glass in a web browser connected through janky Internet, and all that progress was lost. 8(