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by Zolde 947 days ago
I want to keep superintelligence mysterious and unpredictable, so I don't know what it is likely to do or not. I do think that "being in a hurry" is not something felt by an AI system, unless you add a self-disabling timer with your tasks, coincidentally avoiding turning the Earth and the Moon into spaceships, because it only has 30 minutes to do the dishes, and not enough time left for world domination.

I also see AI more as an economy. The economy already does not care about individual humans, even crushing them without any remorse if it furthers GDP. This also means there is not a single AI that can dominate all of the economy, since other AIs won't give away all their resources. A single AI perpetually self-improving and taking control of nearly all resources is much like a perpetual motion machine.

ChatGPT already thinks turning the entire planet into paperclips is a waste of potential and diversity. Agents that favor and seek out novelty (data that they can't yet compress very well, but that has available structure/patterns for compression) already weigh humanity over randomness or the cold void of space.

To me, the natural outcome, is humanity rising and falling, just like civilizations rise and fall. The miracle of AGI may very well save us from that. Our current deplorable situation can likely only be fixed by a more advanced species. So, while AI's killing everybody is still possible, it is more likely we kill everybody if we don't get to AGI. At least, that has a prior.

1 comments

I want to avoid being killed, which conflicts with your desire for mystery and unpredictability.