[s1artibartfast]

yeah, often times that is the case. Because reddit is antonymous and free, people can and do make all kinds of claims, some of which come true. If you have 500 people making up different claims, it is likely that one of them will come true, even if that person was guessing/lying.

Im not saying that real leaks dont happen, but that pre-running the news is really weak evidence the on reddit, unless the claims are incredibly specific.

I dont think there was anything they said on reddit that was very specific, and several posters in the HN thread speculating the same thing, just without claiming to be "in the room".

It is kind of like publishing multiple weather predictions, and then claiming credit for the one that is correct.

[himaraya]

The consistent detail about the store breaking the camel's back sounds rather specific. I guess time will tell whether more claims by this user hold up.

[s1artibartfast]

>I guess time will tell whether more claims by this user hold up.

Thats the point, it doesnt matter if they do or dont.

If you read through their post history, they have a comment or sentence for almost every possible reason:

Difference in vision

forcing development to fast

Didn't listen to safety concerns

Lying about finances

Making deals without the board

Hiding financial matters.

It is like someone is rattling off the top 10 guesses for the reason from HN or predication markets.

Now if they said something like Ilya Sutskever called Sam at 1215 on hangouts to tell him, That would be a be pretty solid proof.

[himaraya]

The user just made some new comments that lack credibility. I think that seals whatever doubts I had.

[s1artibartfast]

yeah, the new comments look like more of the same to me. A lot of not-so-subtle self aggrandizement, vague claims, and of course a "big secret" that they cant share.

They could still be some kind of insider, but they never added any new information beyond what was publicly speculated, and clearly have an axe to grind.

There is something about reddit that just attracts and promotes a lot of juvenile attention seeking behavior. My default assumption is that content is fictional unless it passes a pretty high bar.