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by foolinator 5175 days ago
Even though one can't reliably predict how to take down facebook, it's great to see google keep trying to lash at it.

Historically, no tech company stays in the #1 spot for more than a decade. That doesn't mean Facebook won't be around in 10 years, but it does show how volatile the tech market can be.

XBox was viewed as a joke but they kept at it with their cash machine, and now they're successful.

Dreamcast was awesome but they didn't have the cash to keep at it and had to throw in the towel.

If google keeps at it, they'll sink or swim, but you have to be persistent to try to take that share.

Personally, I think google hires at a far more talented tech pool. They're doing things like VR glasses and automatic parking cars while facebook makes a big deal about integrating with Skype. So the talent is there. The money is there. The marketing is there.

We'll see how this plays out. I'm excited to see the outcome.

1 comments

> no tech company stays in the #1 spot for more than a decade

If that were a fixed law, then Facebook could still wait for Windows, Photoshop, Skype and Google Search to disappear before they had to worry about themselves.

I hope I will remember to revisit this comment in half a decade. :)

Facebook isn't even the #1 spot right now. Google, apple, and microsoft are still much bigger companies than they are. And oh yeah, they make PROFIT.

IMHO, facebook is GREATLY overvalued, but only time will tell if it's true. Their investment in price assumes that they will continue to grow and will still have no competition in a 1/2 decade.

$120 billion, or $80 billion - depending on who you talk to. Google is making cars that the blind can drive and glasses we saw in terminator. Facebook, they're giving us timeline. GE makes light bulbs, owns NBC, create military jets. Facebook gives us status updates. You think facebook can possibly be worth 1/3 of ALL of GE?

Of course, I'm joking a lil about facebook's offerings. I know they offer far more. However, to think they're going to be the only dog in town doing what they do is just being ignorant.

Tech is filled with creative people who fuck shit up all the time. Just as facebook made some people turn heads at MSFT and GOOG, so will someone else in the future.

> Facebook isn't even the #1 spot right now

FWIW, I interpreted this as the #1 spot for any given category of software. Facebook are clearly the #1 for social and have been so for a while. That's good enough in the context of this discussion.

It surprises me too, actually, given their absolutely terrible mobile apps. :(