[johnfn]

Is this a response to the metaculus track record, which is an aggregate of the accurate of all predictions ever made on the platform, and shows that predictions fall close to accurate probabilities? Which part of the track record do you find fault with?

[not2b]

I looked at it.

Their FAQ says that they aren't a prediction market, and they operate differently. People aren't placing bets, so it isn't weighted in favor of the wealthy. They weight people based on past prediction success.

So, maybe their approach works better.

See https://www.metaculus.com/help/faq/