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by jeffreyrogers 950 days ago
Well their kids could live in them, or sell it and buy a different house to live in. Forecasting what the effect of that supply will be on prices seems hard to me. Housing units per capita is lower than it was 20 years ago[0] and I think if you could find a longer time series you would see the pattern continue back many decades. That timeseries also includes all housing, not just SFH. I think if you just looked at SFH the decline would be more dramatic.

[0]: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=j9kH

1 comments

>Well their kids could live in them

Unlikely. There's a very high likelihood the house will have to be sold, either to pay off debts of the deceased (or bereaved), or because the children already have their own lives going, or because they don't want to assume the tax burden, or simply because each child wants their share to do with as they please.

>or sell it and buy a different house to live

This is what's going to happen. All of these property will be sold. A very small percentage will be assumed by the children because of the all issues mentioned above.