[chii]

> you can't really form your own exper[t] opinion on every question you will face.

noone can be an expert in all fields, but you can seek multiple opinions from multiple experts, and generally the consensus is likely to be correct. Esp. if those experts are far apart, and unlikely to be colluding or associated.

The trick is how to do it efficiently, and not to fall into confirmation bias (aka, seeking only experts that agree with your preconceived notions).

[notatoad]

even just the task of finding multiple experts qualified to hold an opinion on a topic can be overwhelming. for a lot of things (like, for example, superconductivity) i'm not even qualified to determine if somebody should count as an expert or not.

this is the reason why things like scientific journals exist. it's embarrasing that Nature had to retract this paper, but on balance they're still doing a way better job of judging this subject matter than i would.

[SantalBlush]

Nobody is going to personally find multiple experts to weigh in on every subject. What an absurd thing to suggest.

[alasdair_]

I can ask a dozen master astrologers what the future holds and I still won’t know very much.