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by raesene9
959 days ago
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I'm not GP but, in theory, if a corporation can't find any opportunities for use of capital greater than holding it in safe/cash-like instruments and sees no possibility of those opportunities emerging in the short-medium term, it should be distributed to shareholders, who may well have use for it (even if those shareholders are just intending to put it into cash-like instruments themselves). The counter arguments that I've seen (there may well be others) are either that it does see those opportunities, but not at this precise moment in time, so is keeping the cash for later. At the level of $156b, this seems a bit unlikely but hey maybe they have some great ideas in the pipeline. The alternative is that they don't but aren't distributing it to shareholders, because of the tax implications of that distribution (and in general many corporations seem to favour buybacks rather than dividends for tax reasons), and they have some hope that those tax implications will change in the future (or their share price will fall, allowing for better buybacks), allowing them to then distribute the money in a way that benefits the shareholders more. |
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As https://www.reuters.com/article/us-berkshire-buffett-insuran... says, Buffett gives a 2%/year probability to a $400 billion mega-catastrophe that is likely to wipe out a good chunk of the insurance industry. If that happens, Berkshire Hathaway will be able to pay its share of the claims.
Add that to your thinking. Does maintaining a $150 billion reserve sound so crazy now?