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by dieselgate 961 days ago
Not getting into politics at all but I imagine it'd be utter chaos if anything similar were to happen to Trump, that's an interesting perspective to hear though.
3 comments

I doubt it. You’re going to get some diehards try and shoot up some innocents somewhere but that’s nothing new for the US.
This comment made me realize that when Trump passes there will 100% be a conspiracy about it, no matter the cause.

For the average American man who is Trump's age (77) the chance of dying in that same year is about 5%, according to the Social Security Administration's Actuarial Life Table.

This is a stat which only goes in one direction - up - over time. It's at 6.5% at 80, 18% at 90, and a sobering 38% at 100.

Show me a centenarian who felt giddily immortal before learning her chances to die. :)
If Trump died, and in the aftermath it was revealed he had ties to a Chinese cult, his only remaining supporters would probably be the cult-like reality deniers.
> ...his only remaining supporters would probably be the cult-like reality deniers.

He built a huge base largely on people who prefer to believe him over reality.

"These people (the Trump voters) are sick and tired of being lied to by fake politicians and they just want to burn the whole system down -- Trump is their fire bomb." -- Michael Moore, prior to the 2016 election.
That's not wrong, we have an issue with politicians promising things that are impossible or at a minimum highly implausible - because the structure of our political system means they won't be thrown out on their ear for making promises they can't keep.
It's not that they promise things that they can't deliver. It's that they pretend to be fighters for good, while instead using the system for cynical self gain.
But they do promise lots of things they can't deliver as well.
I actually think it's that politicians have been unwilling to promise things that they feel are politically infeasible, and arguably make no sense, like building a wall to Mexico
Once Trump and his ilk came in, Those people lost elections.
It kind of makes sense on an intellectual level, but I don’t think it is very plausible. Trump promised a lot of things when he was elected, most of which are practically impossible. I think he just promised the right things for his audience, whereas most politicians are so far up their arses that they don’t know what actual people want or care about.
I don't think that's what GP meant: Voters just wanted to set the whole circus on fire. That the person they chose for the job also made impossible promises didn't matter.

This happens a lot on a smaller scale in other democracies that aren't a two party system - people vote for some nonsense radicals or weirdo upstart party to signal the establishment it needs to change. Sometimes this has quite funny outcomes: Pirate party, the Greens in Germany in 1983, etc. Other times it's scary nutjobs. Rarely the parties stick around for longer, slowly becoming the establishment.

How is that different than anyone else?

Republicans and Democrats alike say whatever they need to win a primary and general election, democrats do that in smaller quantities - but it's still the same bullshit.

And before anyone says I'm "both sidesing" the green new deal (which was little more than a messaging bill with lots of words and little substance) was no more passable than building a southern border wall was, or repealing Obamacare (though this got close) for that matter.

> we have an issue with politicians promising things that are impossible or at a minimum highly implausible

That's every democracy. The issue we have is that we're in a period where trust in elites is at rock bottom. (Both sides' elites--Mitch McConnell isn't much more popular among Trump voters than Biden.) The normal function of elites keeping the unwashed masses grounded in reality isn't working.

Isn’t Michael Moore a Democrat?
Yes. This was part of an MSNBC discussion about Clinton's problem with union and working class white voters. The panel was having a hard time understanding why union members would vote Republican.
Easier pill to swallow than admitting you live in a bubble
That Chinese cult would suddenly be immensely popular among tens of millions of Americans. Those people would dedicate their lives to the cult.
Wouldn’t a better analogy be a Mexican cult, to better approximate a country with the same relationship as China to Japan?
The ones that almost triggered an insurrection and civil war a couple of years ago?
Civil war? Really? That. Ever almost happened. Dont be dramatic
Was certainly the goal of some of the cults, at least according to the evidence in the indictment.