Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by mnd999 965 days ago
The private homebuilding sector is not going to build at the rate required to improve supply, because excess supply will cut into their margins. Deregulating will just allow them to build a ton of cheap low quality housing and still charge enormous amounts for it. Landlords would just pass that on.

The solution is quality social housing, built by the state in large enough quantities to disrupt the market.

5 comments

This is being downvoted, but it’s actually what countries that have solved this problem have done. Even everyone’s favorite “no zoning, build, build, build” paradise Japan accomplished this by also building a large amount of public housing:

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Danchi

Housing didn’t become a depreciating asset there over night. It was the express result of the state intervening in the market.

It can be a 'yes, and' thing. You can do both. You can't build a bunch of Japan style public housing if you do not have Japan style zoning.
Sounds a bit too commie for the yanks.
The younger generation is coming around. In a hundred years or so things may change, but until then we're stuck with our current political economic system.

https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2022/09/19/modest-decli...

If you convert 10 single-family-homes worth a million dollars each into a skyscraper with a thousand units there's plenty of room for profit, even if the thousand units are cheaper than the current median cost for a condo (or rental).

Cities have been writing laws and zoning that prevent economies of scale from kicking in for decades. If they just stop doing that, we'll get more housing.

Allowing existing homeowners to increase their revenue by densifying housing will drive prices down. Although developers for single family dwellings will not be as happy about it, if you have a 1/3 Acre lot 10 miles from downtown S.F. which you can turn from a single family $3000 a month rental into a multi-unit $30,000 a month rental then you will be happy to do so. Even if it drives down the value of your $800/month rental in the middle of nowhere.

Imagine if you are currently owning and occupying a house and have a chance to pay your mortgage by building a rental property on the unoccupied half of your lot. A lot of people would be very happy to do so if it were legalized.

Edit: But you are totally right that socialized housing would be an excellent solution.

> Deregulating will just allow them to build a ton of cheap low quality housing and still charge enormous amounts for it.

You're stating this like it's a fact, but you haven't explained why. In a free market, competition is on the basis of price and quality.

What do zoning changes have to do with quality of housing?
R1 zoning prevents the creation of affordable housing. Since you can only fit maybe two or three households per acre, and land prices are sky high, the only affordable housing is in the middle of nowhere, 2 hours from anything.

Something like this would be a huge improvement and reduce housing costs.

https://www.strongtowns.org/journal/2018/6/6/toward-dynamic-...

I agree with this. But the person i responded to was implying that relaxed zoning rules would leave more shoddy houses by developers. Despite building regulations being completely different than zoning.
Ahh! Yeah I was thinking the same thing. It makes no sense that zoning would affect building quality.