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by soperj 974 days ago
Historically low unemployment is usually when things break.
1 comments

It has been at persistently low levels for seven years years now (obviously the pandemic punched a temporary hole in employment, however the US recovered relatively quickly vs its peers). It's structural, we have a labor shortage relative to the hyper scale of the US economy overall (including its aging demographics as a supply problem). The only thing that will severely dent that context is a bad recession, a big crisis like the great recession.
Historically, that's exactly what happens at very low unemployment levels.