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by zuzu89 964 days ago
What makes these new projections different from those of recent decades?
2 comments

> It has been hypothesized that Amundsen Sea warming will respond to future climate change and may be amenable to mitigation by reducing greenhouse gas emissions6,9,10. However, this hypothesis has not been adequately tested. Existing future projections of ice-shelf basal melting are generally not reliable in the Amundsen Sea, a region which is frequently biased cold or poorly resolved in the underlying ocean models11,12. Reference 13 produced the first future projections using a regional model of the Amundsen Sea, which simulated an increase in basal melting. However, this study only considered a single forcing scenario, the worst-case scenario of extreme fossil fuel use, and did not account for internal climate variability.

If you were to say "they have just decided to go with the most alarming scenario possible and throw the scientific method to the wind" I think it would fit the description in the abstract.

measurements