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by verdverm 977 days ago
Two examples of what Russia has done:

1. knocked a US drone out of the air, and the US did not escalate

2. Fired two air-to-air missiles at a UK spy plane, due to miscommunication. One missed, one failed

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Black_Sea_drone_incident

[2] https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-66798508

1 comments

(Possible) undersea pipeline and undersea cable destruction.

Pushing the limit with attacks near the Polish or Romanian borders.

Aggressive agitation / Agit-Prop efforts in the US. Likely pushing the MAGA GOP Republicans to obstruct obstruct obstruct, and doing things like not confirming high ranking generals.

Efforts via Wagner in Africa, and leaning on Middle Eastern powers to take action as things get hotter w/r/t Israel and Palestine. This has seen attacks on US bases in the Middle East, albeit without tremendous impacts.

Russia can't really take direction action since now Finland is NATO, and there are tons of NATO, to include US, UK, French, Canadian, et al, forces in Poland, the Baltics, and now Finland. Russia has, at best, token forces blocking most of those borders. They still have some gear in reserve in case NATO gets involved -- not a lot of call for AShMs in Ukraine, for example -- but even then there isn't much stopping NATO forces from driving straight into St. Pete's or Pskov.