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by jsdalton 969 days ago
For people who live in Seattle, the perception that homicides are increasing is actually the reality: https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/law-justice/seattl...
1 comments

That's 114 homicides this year. Seattle has a population of 750,000.

I don't have any knowledge of what a "reasonable" homicide rate is, but that seems extraordinarily low for anywhere in any point in history.

Western European countries are around 1 per 100,000 population per year. Seattle is 15x that rate based on those statistics. Seems bad.
Maybe my statement was a bit too broad. What I was trying to communicate was that statistically, the chance you get murdered in Seattle is still extremely low despite the headline that seems to be spreading fear.
A "reasonable" homicide rate might be something similar to the rate in other developed countries, so about 1/10 of what it is in Seattle.
According to the article, that is 114 homicides in King County, not Seattle. King County has well over 2 million people.
London, with its current population of rougly 9.6 million¹, recorded 112 homocides in the 2023-2023 reporting year².

If London had the same homocide rate per capita as Seattle, that would equate to 1459 homocides in the same period.

[1] https://www.macrotrends.net/cities/22860/london/population#:....

[2] https://www.statista.com/statistics/862984/murders-in-london....

My city of Calgary has about a quarter of that at one million people. We have about 25 a year.