[londons_explore]

I consider the likely margin of error on this research to be large.

There are just so many variables and effects to consider - modelling this behaviour to any level of precision seems very hard.

[wredue]

It is difficult, but having a clearer picture with more variables accounted for doesn’t hurt, unless you take modern models and try to run them with less accurate, or outright missing older data (which climate change deniers frequently do as a “gotcha” to scientists).

[londons_explore]

Oh of course - it's certainly worth trying to model this stuff.

Just we should keep in mind that the results are far from certain.