| I have been interviewing. Everyone is confused right now. Hiring companies are confused. Recruits are confused. My opinion is we are at a severe dislocation period. I have noticed massive changes in the emerging skills, tools and platforms. Pretty much no code, low code and AI. Everything else looks useless or outdated. Meanwhile, tons of startups and big tech companies are dying and laying off. The skills those people have are dramatically out of whack with what the market actually wants. They are also dramatically out of whack compensation wise from what the current market will tolerate. It means we have a flood of garbage and ultra talented people who can’t plug in anywhere. The ultra talented person will laugh at the offers that employers are willing to make right now and turn them down. Employers are not staffing senior or skilled hires and want to low ball the ultra talented people who want nothing to do with these corny offers and companies. So basically employers think they will get someone “good” and underpay them and people who are actually good are not yet willing to capitulate. And salaries are dropping by like 20-30%. And anyone in the market who has seen their bills going up due to inflation will not tolerate a salary drop on top of a downlevel / demotion. People who have debt and a family think the idea of a salary cut is crazy. So with all the dead and dying startups, tons of people flooding the market, interview process going to hell, people getting upset about the salary and skills disconnects, rapid change in which projects are getting funded and which skills are in demand. If you are unemployed right now you are likely to be in pain for six months and you will likely need a salary or career reset and you will likely need to reskill and possibly relocate. That’s where we are. |
And since many if not most people in the higher income tax brackets own their homes with fix rate mortgages and they aren’t spending every penny they make, they aren’t really seeing the full affects of inflation.