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by 0xcafefood 988 days ago
It sounds like you're claiming that literally all predictive models just take some initial sampling bias and amplify it over time. Am I reading this right?
2 comments

Not OP, but I would say yes. And I would argue that humans behave similarly, except that we have an innate sense to question the status quo. For some of us, this trait is more prominent, whereas somebody who is more comfortable with the status quo will usually be stamped a conservative.
Maybe not every single predictive model (I don’t know every single one), but many of them do, yes.

Especially if you use data created as a direct product of that predictive model to further tune that model.

That bias would accumulate.