[envsubst]

Why do you feel so convinced they can't?

[creakingstairs]

1. Their reasoning is arbitrary. They pick and choose factors to justify their analysis.

2. They would be much richer if they could.

[andsoitis]

because you can't know the future

[envsubst]

Every scientific endeavor is about predicting the future. Imagine your 3 closest friends wanted you to invest in your business. Could you predict which of them would likely do better than the others?

[llelouch]

Trading isn't about knowing the future. It's about having a positive expected value.

[HarryHirsch]

Politically connected people can shape the future. Nancy Pelosi's stockpicking skills are legendary.

[the_sleaze9]

Not even close to being a single-party problem. I know it's almost Halloween but you can do better than jumping out from around the corner yelling "Nancy Pelosi!"

> https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/09/13/us/politics/c...