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by dartos 993 days ago
It can to a point, but it can’t to the extent that humans can with sufficiently complex problems.

Deep learning models like this can theoretically approximate pretty much any problem that can be expressed as a function.

It’s entirely possible that there just doesn’t exist a function from visual data (maybe even including LIDAR and RADAR etc) to correct driver decisions.

Humans can also intuit the behavior of other humans to an extent, even while driving (knowing that someone who is driving erratically is probably fucked up and will be dangerous to stay near). Kind of like a really shitty gossip protocol.

1 comments

It can only approximate any function for which it’s seen data in the local feature spaces of the function. For anything it’s not seen features for it will do some maladapted interpolation through the feature space it has been trained on. It can’t be creative or synthesize a novel technique based on some more abstract reasoning over the new regime - it literally must attempt to fit its past observations as best it can to the new regime. Humans certainly do that too, but they are also able to step back and synthesize completely new behaviors given completely new data that isn’t just adapting old behavior based on some optimization function telling it that behavior is most appropriate in the new situation.

People are confused because interpolation is actually fairly powerful and is often entirely sufficient. Especially with the GPT4 model it’s so well trained with such a large and varied corpus that it is able to handle many things well, even unexpected things, and seems like it is extrapolating at times. But it still hallucinates, and these are the most obvious symptoms of its inability to extrapolate. It’s just fitting within its trained vector space as best it can.