[eternityforest]

Not just one component, the flash memory doesn't last forever, and it's so unnecessarily small these days that it's almost more of a limiting factor than CPU and RAM.

I'd personally like to see swappable storage and mandatory external SD card support.

We could probably get to 15 years with current phone tech, unless they invent something really revolutionary that makes everyone want to upgrade.

[KeplerBoy]

15 years is a really, really long time even with Moore's law being dead. The ios AppStore launched pretty much exactly 15 years ago and everything has changed since then.

Quick reminder what we had 15 years ago: a single camera on the back, 128 MB ram and samsung processors in the iphone.

[kelnos]

What we had 15 years ago vs. today is not a good predictor of the level of change we're going to have over the next 15 years. Especially when we're talking about something that was a brand new product category and brand new technology 15 years ago.

I know people who are still perfectly happy with 7+-year-old iPhones. The limiting factor for many people is not processor speed or RAM or storage space, but the lack of OS updates (especially security updates).

(Certainly those other things are limiting factors for some people, but I don't think it's anywhere near as common as it is for the HN crowd. And the storage space issue can be solved with a microSD card slot, which, sadly, few phones include these days.)