[Finn_]

This assumes that 1/5 of them break every year which is probably not the case, older laptops will break more frequently.

[gabrielhidasy]

On the other hand, considering we are talking about kids breaking laptops, this failures are much more random, a brand new laptop is not that much more likely to survive a fall than an old one.

[account42]

If the older laptop has already "survived" a fall, yes, it is abosolutely more likely to break from the same fall than the new laptop.