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by alted
1010 days ago
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The probability may actually be much higher: about 12% per decade for a -850mT event; 1.5% for -1700mT [1]. Wikipedia estimates the Carrington was anywhere from -800 to -1750 [2]. [1] "On the probability of occurrence of extreme space weather events", Pete Riley, 2012, doi:10.1029/2011SW000734 [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carrington_Event |
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