[wolverine876]

> it’s based on last universal common ancestor estimates(LUCA) and supported by (lack of) fossil record.

I thought the Cambrian Explosion's fossil record was pretty sizeable - in fact, it's named after the place where the fossil layer was first discovered. I didn't know it was related to a common ancestor. Are you thinking of something else or am I missing something major?

[edgyquant]

Yes but we’re talking about before the Cambrian

[wolverine876]

?

>>> Complex animal life took 3.5 bn years to emerge on Earth,

>> How certain are we it took that long (the first time)?

> Not certain at all, it’s based on last universal common ancestor estimates(LUCA) and supported by (lack of) fossil record.

Do you mean, there's little evidence of pre-Cambrian absence? Absence of evidence is some evidence of absence, in this case.

But how does LUCA fit into this question?

[sgt101]

I think we can see where different complex animals split in their evolutionary tree - so humans and starfish split a long way back. Then we use a standard mutation clock to estimate how long ago that was. If all complex animals split from simple animals an estimated 700m years ago...