[gruez]

>Frank Hoogerbeets @hogrbe

>Feb 3

>Sooner or later there will be a ~M 7.5 #earthquake in this region (South-Central Turkey, Jordan, Syria, Lebanon). #deprem

The earthquake happened 3 days after. This seems prescient, until you realize the wording suggests an ambiguous timeline. The area is a known fault zone, one happening "sooner or later" isn't exactly some deep insight. If he knew about that specific earthquake, why didn't he give a more specific prediction of "within the next week"?

[haunter]

He did the same 3 days ago before the earthquake

>A few days ago a fluctuations chart was published marking the region west of Portugal, which is an approximation.

https://twitter.com/hogrbe/status/1699414822008348968

[gruez]

Again, this seems like confirmation bias. From the same tweet:

>I guess #Spain and #Italy should also be on extra alert.

He warned Spain and Italy, but not Morocco? Also for whatever reason he warned italy even though it's not a region marked by the map. Why?

Also, if you scroll through his timeline, it's littered with predictions that didn't come to pass:

https://twitter.com/hogrbe/status/1633919887243370497

https://twitter.com/hogrbe/status/1630518718886191104

https://twitter.com/hogrbe/status/1625941900631867395

https://twitter.com/hogrbe/status/1623399446573719557