| Strong points, but I disagree with the timeline a little bit. > A reduction in the labor force for skilled creative work I agree and disagree with this. Stable diffusion is art, but creating the art is still within the realm of artists. Also, they'll still need copyediting, refining, etc. I think creatives will transfer or complement their skills with this stuff, like some are already doing. (Example: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=VGa1imApfdg) I also very highly doubt that fine art will ever be 100% AI. Uniqueness drives their value. > The complete elimination of humans in customer-support roles Definitely not. Human customer service is key for achieving high eNPS scores. People will always want to talk to other people, even if IVR and chat can address their needs. > More convincing spam and phishing content, more scalable scams Definitely, but it is well documented that the most common types of scams are made to be deliberately "off" to find easy marks more quickly. > SEO hacking content farms dominating search results
> Book farms (both eBooks and paper) flooding the market Both of these have been happening for many years. OpenAI will make it easier to stand up boilerplate hello-world starters though (as OP called out). I suppose Google will downrank sites like this to prevent incentivizing this. > AI-generated content overwhelming social media
Widespread propaganda and astroturfing, both in politics and advertising This is the one thing I'm actually concerned about. I hope that Reddit doesn't become people talking to other people via ChatGPT assistants. That would be a cultural net loss. |