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by rovolo
1020 days ago
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The WSJ article is behind a paywall so I can't double check this, but you can have a 99% accurate test with a 20% misdiagnosis rate. The difference is that 99% is per-person, and 20% is per-positive-result. A rare condition will have more false-positives relative to true-positives than the test accuracy would indicate. It's a bit easier to understand if you think of the extreme case: if the disease is completely eliminated than all positives are false-positives. |
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