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by mrguyorama
1035 days ago
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Stop buying into the "Putin is a master planner" bullshit. Putin is an average human who got high off his own supply and started believing his own rumors. Wagner mutinied because Putin barely has control over anything anymore, and Prigozhin was getting a little fame, and had a legitimate army at a time where Russia couldn't even defend it's own territory from a raving band of humvees, real mad max shit. The Wagner mutiny was not some plan. At least not for Putin. |
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Getting up in the morning and following dictatorship 101 rules like the day before is not being a "master planner".
Authoritarian rulers fear coups. They use paramilitary entities to keep the regular military under control. When they fear an imminent coup, they continue to use such entities, because it is the real military which could have enough popular support to succeed.
The simplest possible explanation for the publicized events is that Prigozhin never stopped doing his job, never changed his role, nor failed to follow orders. A not-so-public, but not completely hidden purge occurred. And when Prigozhin was done, he exited stage left.
That seems to me the correct application of Occam's razor in this case. Everything else, in my opinion, is the wild speculation without evidence.