[po8tin]

Some dumb shit like the murder of an Archduke.

It won’t be an organized revolution but single unknowable moment which triggers a bunch of people say “fuck this shit”.

Because you’re right; traditional political groups are fading away as people realize everybody is being boned.

The people in charge today have things locked up. Generational churn is an active process. New leadership may be intentionally worse or unintentionally inept.

It’s like trying to predict the next pandemic, not so much a market crash. Markets are social systems and can be sorted socially. Moments that trigger sudden social unrest are more like pandemics; less frequent, trying to predict them involves many more variables.