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by ImPostingOnHN 1039 days ago
(somewhat) interesting question, it might be worth discussing sometime

anyways, do you have any evidence for the causality you suggested here? so far it hasn't been very convincing

keep in mind, as you make your case, that most posters here are smart enough to not fall for a "post hoc ergo proper hoc" fallacy

1 comments

Federal Reserve is a private contractor to USA and sets the price of money (interest rates). Their recent statement timidly implied the war is causing inflationary pressures. As a contractor, they can't directly tell the White House to 'knock off the warmaking' so they wrote 'international developments'.

https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/fomcminu...

Page 9: "Members also agreed that their assessments will take into account a wide range of information, including readings on labor market conditions, inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and financial and international developments."

If you like to read books, this book about Russia has amazing references including FOIA documents. https://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/the-plot-to-seize-russia-ma...

you're saying you think that quote means russia's war on Ukraine is causing inflation?

if so, it doesn't – not only does it not even mention russia's war on Ukraine, it doesn't even mention a rate increase, much less a correlation between the two

not only THAT, but you conveniently ignored all the 4 other factors they listed first

and before you go down the conspiracy theory route of "X can't/won't say the REAL truth but I'll tell you what it is", a lack of evidence for a theory isn't evidence of the theory, and while I'm sure you're a great person, your word in this situation is unconvincing