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by throwaw1yyy 1035 days ago
It’s Robin Hanson. Hanson is Feynman ~smart. Top caliber

For the rest of your argument you seem stuck on definitions for words, which is helpful for your understanding but unhelpful for discussion of the ideas.

If we were discussing our business plan for next quarter and you began saying ‘what is business? what is a plan, on a deep level?’ I would not engage with you but ask you to leave because either a) you don’t belong in the meeting b) you’re acting in bad faith semantics

1 comments

I'm not playing semantics there.

The word "economy" in the discussions around growth and de-growth is used to describe a multitude of things, notably (1) money (commonly looked at it in terms of GDP) or (2) production (commonly looked at in resource and goods produced, and services rendered). Because they are notoriously not well correlated (because of the capital market, inflation, ...) there are multitude of examples where (1) is growing while (2) is shrinking.

If you're saying "shrinking economies don't innovate", do you mean "Economies with shrinking GDP don't innovate", or "Economies whose production drop don't innovate". This is wildly different, and, contrarily to your comment, fundamental to discuss this idea.

When it comes to accepting someone's opinion in blind faith because they're smart, do whatever you want. Undocumented opinions coming from smart, educated people are valuable opinions ; but they're opinions nonetheless.

GDP is literally a measure of aggregate production. The entire point of GDP is to measure production in an economy. GDP does not measure money any more than mass measures kilograms. It measures the value of all goods and services produced in the economy.
> GDP is literally a measure of aggregate production

In $, not amount of goods and services.

> GDP does not measure money any more than mass measures kilograms.

Mass is a physical dimension. GDP is the product of the physical dimensions of the goods and services you product by the value attributed to these physical properties.

> It measures the value of all goods and services produced in the economy.

You're saying it yourself: it measures the value of the goods and services. Value is measured in money and is not directly linked to the volume of goods, resources and services they represent.

You can produce the exact same amount of potatoes, if the value of a kg of potatoes increases, the GDP rises. If you look at the value of oil to gauge its production, there's one day in 2020 when we sent oil back to earth[1].

1: https://www.bbc.com/news/business-52350082

When economists talk about production in the context of an economy they always mean the value of that production. Economic growth never implies the raw quantity of economic production increased regardless of its value. That's a contradiction in terms. If an economy increases production of some finished good by 50% yet the value of that finished good declined that was not economic growth it was a contraction.

Economic growth literally means the value of goods and services produced by the economy rose. It does not mean "monetary value" in one place or "number of widgets" in another place. Robin Hanson is not confused here by what he means by economic growth and his argument does not rely on some ambiguity in terms.

>>You can produce the exact same amount of potatoes, if the value of a kg of potatoes increases, the GDP rises.

Yes, of course.

>>If you look at the value of oil to gauge its production, there's one day in 2020 when we sent oil back to earth[1].

I'm not sure what this is supposed to illustrate. If a finished good or service does not have value then it cannot contribute to economic growth. The entire point of an economy is to produce goods that have value.

Not exactly. The definition of GDP is:

  GDP=C+G+I+NX
  where:
  C=Consumption
  G=Government spending
  I=Investment
  NX=Net exports
The production implied by C, G, and NX, is merely a lower bound. Excess production isn't capture in the GDP equation.