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by kgwgk
1038 days ago
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As you find “both girls or both boys” problematic for some reason maybe we can discuss the following questions instead - where hopefully there is no subtle change of meaning. ————- Do you agree with the following? > I tell you I have two children and that (at least) one of them is a boy, and ask you what you think is the probability that I have one boy and one girl. 2/3 > I tell you I have two children and that (at least) one of them is a girl, and ask you what you think is the probability that I have one boy and one girl. 2/3 If you don’t, why not? If you do, what’s your answer to the following question? > I tell you I have two children and that I’ve just sent you an email with the sex of (at least) one of them, and ask you what you think is the probability that I have one boy and one girl. |
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