[32gbsd]

These analysis are highly knowledgable while being consistently wrong. It's like a self meme factory. If you only analyse one side you are bound to end up in a corner where your analysis doesn't pan out against reality. It's all wishful thinking.

[jpmoral]

In this case the author seems to hope Russian missiles continue to decline both in quantity and quality, but concludes that that is unlikely to happen. I don't see where the wishful thinking is.

[32gbsd]

It can be hard to see it

[jpmoral]

Point it out?

[32gbsd]

The running out of middles starts a circle which failed to close. Now that it has not happened there is no explanation. How did the initial information come into play? There are many examples like this.