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by lucb1e 1045 days ago
> Closest approach time [...] t_max = 2023/08/15 12:22 TDB [...] Run started at 2023-08-14 23:51 UTC and ended at 2023-08-15 00:06 UTC

So this computation result became known after the closest approach would happen at the latest.

Looking at the asteroid I saw hitting us, 2023CX1 (known as Sar2667 before being designated), it says:

> Closest approach [...] t_max = 2023/02/13 03:22 TDB [...] Run started at 2023-02-13 11:47 UTC and ended at 2023-02-13 11:53 UTC

Again, hours after the impact actually occurred. And that's from the 7-observations page, there are 3 more pages with 28, 76, and 125 observations, all listed here: https://newton.spacedys.com/neodys2/NEOScan/index_past_imp.h...

The next one on the past impactors page has a 3 day delay between when it hit us and when its orbit was computed

What's the point of this?

1 comments

Can you elaborate on the question you're asking?
Put differently: am I missing something if I say this website is similar in function to https://hasthelargehadroncolliderdestroyedtheworldyet.com ?

At least in terms of a public service announcement; I understand it's interesting for science but not so much for linking "hey look there's an X% chance of impact....yesterday!" on news websites

When I was taking physics at the University 20 years ago, one of my professors said that the closest we have ever come to predicting an asteroid impact was "whoa that was close" as it zipped by.

Sounds like that's still state of the art.

I find it very interesting even if the approach was yesterday, as the chances were seemingly quite high and asteroid was quite big. Also, Hacker News isn't exactly only news, just any interesting things, current or past.