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by kwstas 1042 days ago
I really don't buy it. There is considerably more interest in google trends for ChatGPT compared to StackOverflow. But I dont see one replacing the other. At least for me.

I do not believe the google trend graphs,like "the scariest graph", in this post accurately reflect a decline of SO.

There is a place for AI tools and StackOverflow is not the friendliest of places but the quality disparity between the answers you get when comparing the two is very clear to me.

> This year, overall, we’re seeing an average of ~5% less traffic compared to 2022. Stack Overflow remains a trusted resource for millions of developers and technologists. [...] Conversely, in April of this year, we saw an above average traffic decrease (~14%), which we can likely attribute to developers trying GPT-4 after it was released in March.

https://stackoverflow.blog/2023/08/08/insights-into-stack-ov...

2 comments

The Google Trends graph stuck out to me. You're comparing something that didn't exist before December and had broad appeal, to something that people arrive at generally by searching a question. They aren't at all comparable. (I imagine you'd see the same graph if you compared ChatGPT with Facebook. Doesn't mean ChatGPT is replacing social media.)
Agreed. ChatGPT might overtake StackOverflow, but that first graph does not suggest it, because StackOverflow itself remains constant, it doesn't decline in that graph.