Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by dragontamer 1049 days ago
National Bureau of Economic Research declares recessions in the USA. Always have.

If they don't say it's a recession, it isn't one.

------

What is consistent is that the economists there declare recessions way too late in practice. I think they declared a recession dated in 2007 in the year 2009, when we were already recovering.

So what we have are a bunch of internet bloggers who try to call a recession before the experts. But all that happens in practice is that the bloggers call a recession every 3 months since 2010 hoping that they're correct today.

-----

If we are in a recession today, we will know for sure maybe next year. That's just how it works on this issue, and it's premature to call it any sooner.