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by whimsicalism 1056 days ago
China has 1.2 billion people, I feel like it is basically an inevitability at this point.
1 comments

1.2 billion _old_ people. While quantity has a quality all its own, in this case the demographics are not what you want to see if you are predicting long-term Chinese growth just based on population.
Median age China, 2022: 38.5

Median age USA, 2022: 38.9

Look at the actual age distributions rather than collapsing the data into a single number.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_China

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_the_United_Sta...

I see a country with triple the young people we do.
You should be measuring that population as a % of their total population. Not sure why you're comparing absolute numbers.

China has triple the young people we do, but quadruple the old people that depend on the young people.

Depend on them for what, the cost of a bowl of rice? What is it exactly about 80 year olds that will collapse a country with a brutal government like China has?
It's a mistake to think in terms of the US only. Because unlike China the US doesn't think that way. And if you include the core part of Team America, it's even steven.
Who is the core part of team America? Because the anglosphere doesn’t even it out I don’t think and Western Europe is not unequivocally on our side in US-China industry competition.