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by nubela 1058 days ago
I have been thinking what the incentive is for universities to defraud people with fake LK99 results?
4 comments

There's a prediction market on it. Went from ~25¢ to >50¢ since yesterday.

https://polymarket.com/event/is-the-room-temp-superconductor...

I don't think that an accredited university science department is going to commit fraud to win $10,000 USD.
It's difficult to understand the full context. For all we know this is some sort of maverick with a Weibo channel (or whatever) to promote. But I think we'd know that by now? No idea.
The author posted this statement under the video: "Under the guidance of Professor Haixin Chang, postdoctor Hao Wu and PhD student Li Yang from the School of Materials Science and Technology of Huazhong University of Science and Technology successfully for the first time verified the LK-99 crystal that can be magnetically levitated with larger levitated angle than Sukbae Lee‘s sample at room temperature. It is expected to realize the true potential of room temperature, non-contact superconducting magnetic levitation."

He is putting his name out there, including his professor's, and his schools (A decently reputable uni in China).

I utterly fail to see the incentives for being fraudulent here.

Yes, agree. Reaching for possibles, though. This is such a world-changing discovery that I'm trying to curb my enthusiasm, which is lifting off.
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I have been thinking what the incentive is for the west to suggest that their people should ask why universities might be motivated to defraud people with fake LK99 results?
I think OP's point is that they're trying to think adversarially about whether such incentives exist, not implying that they actually do. It's a good thought experiment with a claim this large - to see how the claimant would benefit if they're fibbing, I mean.
Surely it is redundant as they considered and came to a conclusion on this topic months ago when "US scientists confirm ‘major breakthrough’ in nuclear fusion"
That one's pretty standard. When the lab is about to run out of money, they fluff up an incremental improvement as a 'major breakthrough'. No false claims or fake science involved.