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by regular_trash 1046 days ago
This assumes the chemical structure is stable, which may not be the case. If the material is truly not superconductive at room temperature, it will take a long time to gather enough diverse experimental evidence to build a scientific consensus. A good rule of thumb is probably 3 months to reproduce, 6 months to discredit.
1 comments

why is it slower to discredit than to reproduce?
If I can replicate a result, that's fairly straightforward: I replicated it!

If I can't, that doesn't mean the result was necessarily wrong; maybe I just messed up, or got unlucky and the result only happens 20% of the time. You might need several independent failed replications to start to be confident that the original result was definitely wrong.

It's like saying: there's a buried treasure in this acre. If I find it on my first pass through with a metal detector, job done. If I don't find it on my first pass, I'll probably need to make several more passes, maybe bring in fancier equipment and so on, before I could be pretty confident that it's not there.

Someone claims that a human can run a 5 minute mile.

To prove it true, you just need to show a human who can run that fast. To provide it fast, you have to accumulate incontrovertible evidence that it's simply beyond us...

For those firing up Google: The mile run record has been sitting at 3:43 for over two decades now.